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SCAF is not (yet) dead: Macron and Merz grant a new reprieve

— Summary

The Franco-German-Spanish Future Combat Air System (SCAF) is not dead, but it is on probation. French and German mediators Laurent Collet-Billon and Frank Haun have been granted a ten-day extension, until 28 April, to try to restart the project, defence minister Catherine Vautrin announced. The programme — meant to replace the Rafale and the Eurofighter in 2040 — pits Dassault Aviation against Airbus Defence & Space in open conflict.

A first study phase has already been funded to the tune of €3bn; the stakes now turn on opening a second phase budgeted in 2022 at roughly €8bn. The chief executives of Airbus DS and Dassault have not spoken for months. The mediators' reports, delivered on Saturday as scheduled, focused on three axes: intellectual property, workshare and export rights — all particularly difficult.

In Germany, several voices — including Volker Mayer-Lay, air-force rapporteur for the conservative Bundestag group — considered the project all but buried over the weekend. In France, the DGA insisted mediation was continuing. Announced in 2017 by Emmanuel Macron and Angela Merkel, SCAF has become, for Chancellor Friedrich Merz, a point of principle: he does not want to be accused, as with the aborted EADS-BAE merger, of having torpedoed a European project. Source: Les Echos, 22 April 2026, Anne Drif.

The story in one line. Macron and Merz give mediators ten more days to save SCAF, a combat-aircraft programme already paralysed by the Dassault-Airbus feud and carrying an €8bn phase-2 budget.

Key numbers

  • 10-day reprieve, until 28 April
  • €3bn already funded for the first study phase
  • ~€8bn budgeted in 2022 for phase 2
  • 2040 in-service target, replacing Rafale and Eurofighter
  • Project announced in 2017 by Macron and Merkel
  • Three blocking axes: IP, workshare, export rights

Why it matters

SCAF is the most ambitious European defence programme in a generation. Its collapse would confirm that European air sovereignty still depends on the ability to align two industrial champions who have stopped talking. In Berlin the pressure is mounting to move on; in Paris the DGA is playing for time. The ten-day extension is less about producing a technical fix than about avoiding public ownership of the failure.

Takeaway

If no viable solution emerges by 28 April, SCAF “as originally conceived” will have failed — in the words of German rapporteur Volker Mayer-Lay. Macron and Merz will then stake their credibility on a rescue plan, or risk repeating the aborted EADS-BAE merger no one wants to rerun.

Source: Les Echos, 22 April 2026, Anne Drif.

Further reading

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